2018 : Simulating the Finals Series After Round 14
/So far this season the simulations have ended at the conclusion of the home and away season. Today we'll extend the simulations to include the entirety of the Finals series.
Read More2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 14
/Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.
Read More2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 13
/Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.
Read More2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 12
/Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.
Read More2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 11
/Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.
Read More2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 10
/Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.
Read More2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 9
/Updated final home and away ladder simulations (and quite a bit more this week) appear below.
Read More2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 8
/Updated final home and away ladder simulations (and quite a bit more this week) appear below.
Read More2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 7
/Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.
Read More2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 6
/Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.
Read More2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 5
/Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.
Read More2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 4
/Time to dust off the code that simulates the remainder of the home and away season to see, at this very early stage, how it assesses the teams are faring.
Read More2017 : Simulating the Final Series After Week 2 of the Finals
/The Cats' and Giants' victories on the weekend mean that 30 of the last 36 Preliminary Finalists will have been teams that have had the double-chance, and also that we'll have 1st v 2nd in one of the Prelims, and 3rd v 4th in the other.
Read More2017 : Simulating the Final Series After Week 1 of the Finals
/And then there were six ...
Read More2017 : Simulating the Final Series After Round 23
/With the end of the home and away season we now confine ourselves to simulating only the remaining 9 games that make up the Finals series by applying the methodology as described in this blog.
Read More2017 : Simulating the Final Ladder and Final Series After Round 22
/In this week's 50,000 simulations of the remaining round of the 2017 AFL season, four teams saw material changes in their Top 8 chances, and four more saw their Top 4 chances change by more than 5% points.
Read More2017 : Simulating the Final Ladder and Final Series After Round 21
/Nine teams saw material changes to their Top 4 and/or Top 8 chances this week as the likely final ladder became just a little clearer, at least in parts.
Read More2017 : Simulating the Final Ladder and Final Series After Round 20
/This week saw some large changes in teams' chances for Top 4 and Top 8 spots as the number of rounds remaining shrank to three.
Read More2017 : Simulating the Final Ladder and Final Series After Round 19
/This week was an especially bad one for the finals hopes of Sydney, Melbourne, and Essendon, and a good one for those of Richmond, Geelong, the Western Bulldogs, and West Coast.
Read More2017 : Simulating the Final Ladder and Final Series After Round 18
/We've again seen some dramatic shifts in teams' estimated chances of finishing in the critical regions of the ladder.
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