WoSHBODS this week agrees with the experts about which team should be favourite in every contest except the last, where WoSHBODS favours the home team. and the experts narrowly favour Gold Coast.

In three games, WoSHBODS is forecasting a larger margin of victory for the favourites, in four it is forecasting a smaller margin of victory, and in one it is forecasting roughly the same margin of victory as the experts.

WAGERING

Despite WoSHBODS’ broad agreement with the experts, its opinions are still different enough to warrant head-to-head wagers in six games, totalling just over 19% of the original Head-to-Head Fund, and line wagers in eight games, totalling just under 19% of the original Line Fund.

The Ready Reckoner below provides all the detail, with the percentages recording the impact on the Combined Portfolio of any particular result in a game.

In terms of risk (as measured by the difference between the best- and worst-case results for a given team), we have this week:

• High Risk: Geelong (10%), GWS (6%), St Kilda (6%)

• Medium Risk: Richmond (4%), Collingwood (3%)

• Low Risk: Port Adelaide (1%), Western Bulldogs (1%), Melbourne (0.5%)

Shenanigans were fairly minimal on AFLW betting this week, with the only differences between what we finished with and what we wanted being:

• Geelong: Wanted 6.2% @ $1.88 -14.5. Settled for 3.9% @ $1.88 -14.5 and 2% @ $1.87 -15.5