AFLW 2022 Spring Edition - Round 4 - Results
A good round for WoSHBODS on Margin MAE (17.8 points per game) and Totals MAE (16.5 points per game), but just 3.5 from 9 on accuracy and a negative LPS, which takes it to the cumulative result shown below.
(NB This is a corrected version of the Performance table. The previous one used the wrong data in calculating Score MAEs. This version is consistent with the published week-to-week forecasts)
The Ranking on Team Metrics table appears below, and suggests that, so far, ladder position has been most about:
Scoring Shot Generation and Concession
Own and Opponent Scoring
Q2 and Q4 Performances
Winning Quarters
… and not much about:
Own or Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion
Q1 Performances
Lastly, here is the full Team Dashboard, which shows that:
Carlton have scored almost half their points in Q1s
Fremantle have scored only 11% of their points in Q4s
Geelong have scored 81% of their points in the 2nd half
Gold Coast have scored 65% of their points in the 2nd half
Port Adelaide have scored 70% of their points in Q2s and Q3s
Western Bulldogs have scored 64% of their points in Q2s and Q3s
Richmond have scored 67% of their points in the 1st half
Hawthorn have scored 66% of their points in the 1st half
North Melbourne have scored 65% of their points in the 1st half
Melbourne have scored 64% of their points in the 1st half
West Coast have scored 44% of their points in Q4s
Sydney and Hawthorn have won only 1 quarter all season
Brisbane Lions have won 12 of 16 quarters